Among a very busy NBA schedule on Friday night, with a few interesting NBA matchups on tap, we’re previewing the Atlanta Hawks vs. Indiana Pacers in what should be a highly competitive game, with both teams having very similar statistical splits. This is the second of three matchups between the Hawks and Pacers this season, with Indiana winning 129-114 on December 27th, 2022.
We’ll review the stats, trends, and odds before making our Hawks vs Pacers betting picks for your online sports betting needs on Friday night.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Indiana Pacers Odds
Before we make our Hawks vs Pacers betting picks, we need to review the NBA odds.
The Atlanta Hawks are the Moneyline favorite, according to oddsmakers and NBA expert picks, with odds between -145 and -150. The public money is on the Indiana Pacers, who are the home Moneyline underdog, listed between +125 and +130.
The Hawks are listed at -3 on the point spread, with odds hovering between -110 and -113. The Pacers are listed at +3 on the spread, with odds from -103 and -110.
Atlanta has a 16-24-1 record ATS, while Indiana has a 25-16-1 ATS record.
The total points are listed between 234.5 and 236 points, depending on the sportsbook of choice. The over is listed with odds between -109 and -110, while the under is listed from -110 and -112.
Indiana has a 20-22 over/under record, while Atlanta has a 23-18 over/under record. The over is 4-0 in the last four games in Indiana and 12-2 in the last 14 meetings overall.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Indiana Pacers Information
Atlanta Hawks (19-22) vs. Indiana Pacers (23-19)
Location of the game: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN.
Date: Friday, 13th January. 7:00 p.m. ET
How to watch: fuboTV, NBA League Pass, Bally Sports Indiana, Bally Sports SE-ATL
Atlanta Hawks vs. Indiana Pacers Analysis
Atlanta Hawks Performance Recap and Analysis
The Atlanta Hawks enter Friday night ranked second in the Southeast Division with a 19-22 record, having lost three of their last five games, alternating wins, and losses in the process. The Hawks lost their last matchup to the Milwaukee Bucks 114-105 on January 11th.
In their last five games, the Hawks have hit the over twice and covered the spread twice.
Hawks Stats
Offensively, the Atlanta Hawks stats are much better than their overall record, ranked 11th and averaging 115.0 points per game. Atlanta is ranked 19th and averaging 46.8% from the field, while the Hawks struggle from beyond the arc, ranked 27th overall and completing 33.2% of their 3-point attempts.
Atlanta is ranked fourth, completing 82.0% of their free throws while grabbing 44.0 offensive rebounds per game, ranked 11th.
Defensively, the Hawks are ranked seventh, keeping opposition shooters to 34.6% completion on three-point attempts, ranked seventh in the league. However, it’s all downhill from there for Atlanta.
Atlanta is ranked 22nd, giving up 116.3 per game, with opposing teams shooting 47.4% from the field (20th in the league). The Hawks are among the worst teams in defensive rebounding, ranked 29th in the league and pulling down 47.2 rebounds per game.
Trae Young leads the Hawks in NBA player stats, averaging 27.5 points per game, 9.8 assists per game, and shooting 42.2% from the field. Power forward John Collins leads Atlanta in rebounds, pulling down 8.1 rebounds per game.
Key Injuries
The most important injury is point guard Trae Young, who is listed as probable for Friday’s matchup, while center Clint Capela is listed as out.
Betting Trends to Know
The over is 8-1 in Atlanta’s last nine Friday games. The Hawks are 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in the last five games following an ATS loss and also have a 6-22 ATS record against teams with a .600 winning percentage or higher.
The Hawks are 5-2 ATS in the last seven games in Indiana.
Indiana Pacers Performance Recap and Analysis
When looking at the Indiana Pacers standings, you’ll find they are ranked third in the Central Division, with a 23-19 record, but have a .548 winning percentage, which would put them in first place in the Southeast Division.
Indiana has won three of its last five games but is coming off a 119-113 loss to the New York Knicks on January 11th. The Pacers have hit the over in three of their last five games, while covering the spread in three.
Pacers Stats
Indiana’s NBA team stats, both offensively and defensively, are very similar to Atlanta’s. The Pacers are ranked 10th in the NBA, averaging 115.6 points per game while shooting 46.3% from the field (22nd). Indiana is ranked 10th in three-point percentage, shooting 36.8% from beyond the arc, and seventh in free throw completion percentage (79.9%).
The Pacers are ranked 25th in offensive rebounds, averaging 41.9 rebounds per game. Indiana isn’t much better at rebounding around their basket, ranked 27th and pulling in 45.8 rebounds per game.
Defensively, the Pacers are ranked 20th, giving up 115.7 points per game. Opposite shooters are completing 36.4% of three-point attempts, ranking Indiana 23rd. However, the Pacers are ranked 10th, holding opposing shooters to 46.5% from the field.
Key Injuries
Shooting guard Aaron Nesmith, center Myles Turner, and power forward Oshae Brissett are all questionable for Friday’s game, while the Pacers have three other players listed as out, including point guard Tyrese Halliburton.
Betting Trends to Know
The Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last four Friday games. Indiana is 6-1 ATS in the last seven games when allowing more than 100 points in the previous game and when the Pacers are playing on one day’s rest.
The over is 4-0 in the last four Pacers’ games against teams with a losing record.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Indiana Pacers Betting Picks
With the stats, trends, and odds reviewed, let’s make our Hawks vs Pacers betting picks.
Moneyline:
We’ll take the Indiana Pacers as the home underdog. This game should be close, but we favor the Pacers getting the close win on home court, especially if Trae Young doesn’t play or has limited minutes tonight.
Over/Under:
This is the toughest pick to make in this game. The line is set to just under both teams’ season scoring averages. The betting trends suggest taking the over in Indiana, however, we’re taking the under. This game will get close to hitting the number, but Atlanta’s scoring has been slightly down recently, while Indiana has surpassed 115 points in three games, one of which was an overtime loss to Philadelphia. Take the under.
Spread:
Since we are taking the Pacers on the Moneyline, we’re taking the Pacers to cover the three-point spread.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Indiana Pacers Score Prediction
Indiana Pacers 118 – Atlanta Hawks 114
NBA Picks: Indiana Pacers ML, Pacers +3, Under
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