A mega matchup between a pair of teams with championship dreams tips off at 8:30 p.m. ET Friday when the Toronto Raptors visit the Dallas Mavericks at the American Airlines Center in Dallas.
Toronto Raptors vs. Dallas Mavericks
Matchup Info
- Date and Time: November 4, 2022, 8:30 p.m.
- Location: Dallas, TX
- Venue: American Airlines Center
- How to Watch: League Pass
Public betting data shows 67% of people making Raptors vs Mavericks betting picks are taking the Mavericks against the spread. Though history shows, the Raptors are 4-1 against the spread in the last five meetings with Dallas.
The Raptors are 2-3 straight up in those contests and 5-5 overall in the last ten, while the Mavericks won the previous five matchups against the spread before the Raptor’s latest run.
There have only been 51 regular-season NBA matchups since the Raptors were founded as an expansion team in 1995. The Mavericks have 29 of those games, with the Raptors claiming 22.
Toronto Raptors
Pacing has required teams to have meticulous efficiency against the Raptors this season. They are second in NBA team stats in allowing 105.8 points per game.
Though their defensive efficiencies aren’t as strong, allowing teams to convert 46.1% of field goal attempts, ranking 14th, and 36.3% of 3-pointers, ranking 22nd.
Raptors’ Offense
Offensively, the Raptors are 16th in scoring 113.9 points per game. They are highly efficient on the perimeter, converting 38.6% of 3-point attempts to rank sixth while making 46.4% of field goal attempts for a league average of 15th.
Lineup Breakdown
Pascal Siakam continues to be a star. He’s averaging 25.6 points, 9.6 rebounds, and 7.9 assists per game, with a shooting slash of .477/.361/.730, per NBA player stats.
The investment in Gary Trent Jr. is paying off, as he’s averaging 20.0 points per game and converting 38.2% of 3-pointers.
Wings Scottie Barnes and OG Anunoby are also averaging double figures, while Chris Boucher and Precious Achiuwa are strong frontcourt presences.
Rebounding has been somewhat of a struggle, pulling down 43.6 per contest to rank 20th, but they are fifth defensively in limiting teams to 41.3 per game.
Key Injuries
The NBA injury report shows Fred VanVleet is questionable with a back injury.
He is averaging:
- 13.3 points
- 7.7 assists
- 4.0 rebounds
- 2.5 steals per game
And has been a critical part of the Raptors’ success during his career.
Betting Trends to Know
After a 1-3 start, the Raptors have won four of their last five games in a season that includes splits with the Miami Heat and Philadelphia 76ers.
The Raptors (5-3) have taken care of the teams they should and have been competing against each team it lost to.
The Raptors are 6-2 against the spread, including 5-1 in the last six games, while going 4-4 on over/under this season.
Dallas Mavericks
NBA team stats show the Mavericks are a top-ten team despite a slow start record-wise. They are ninth offensively, scoring 115.7 points per game.
They are seventh in field goal efficiency, converting 48% of shots, though they are 19th in only converting 35% of 3-pointers.
Mavericks Defense
Defensively the Mavericks are seventh in allowing 109 points per game and are great on the perimeter, ranking seventh in forcing teams to convert 33.3% of 3-pointers.
But they are sixth-worst in allowing teams to make 47.9% of field goal attempts overall.
Rebounding has been an odd balance as they are the best team defensively, holding teams to 39.1 per contest but are fourth worst in securing 41.3 of their own rebounds per game.
Luka Doncic Performance Recap
Only four players are averaging double figures for the Mavericks, as Luke Doncic has some of the best NBA player stats and has entered the MVP frontrunner conversation.
He’s averaging 36.1 points, 9.0 assists, 8.9 rebounds, and 1.7 steals per game with shooting slash lines of .514/.237/.772.
Christian Wood has also been strong, averaging 17.3 points and 8.4 rebounds per game while making 47.8% of 3-pointers. Spencer Dinwiddie is adding 16.7 points per game while converting 43.2% of 3-pointers.
Key Injuries
The NBA injury report shows forward Davis Bertans is out indefinitely with a knee injury. Ditto for backup point guard Frank Ntilikina with an ankle injury. Neither has made their season debut yet.
Betting Trends to Know
The Mavericks games schedule shows they are 3-1 at home this season, while the Raptors are 2-2 on the road. The Mavericks are 3-3-1 against the spread and 5-2 on over/unders.
The Mavericks (4-3) have a pair of losses to expected playoff teams and a pair of wins over expected playoff teams.
They enter Friday’s matchup having won consecutive games on home court, though they’ve been close and are 0-2-1 against the spread on this current home stand.
Toronto Raptors vs. Dallas Mavericks Odds
Those making Raptors vs Mavericks betting picks haven’t seen much changes in the odds, if at all, depending on the book.
The Mavericks are favored by 3.5 points with an over/under of 217. The Raptors odds on the moneyline are still attractive at +150, while the Mavericks are at -180.
Toronto Raptors vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Picks
Moneyline
Toronto has been strong defensively and has versatility in the positions each can defend.
The switchability is something that is difficult to prepare for, given the wingspans of their players, so we’ll take them to limit Doncic’s drives and the ability to get out and cover the perimeter, though the season averages buck that trend.
NBA Pick: Raptors (+150)
Over/Under
This game should have a playoff feel to it because of the caliber of each team.
NBA Pick: Under 216.5 (-110)
Spread
If we’re going with the Raptors’ moneyline we may as well double down with the spread.
Toronto’s defensive potential is high because of the athletes they have, and that has been the meal ticket so far this season.
NBA Pick: Raptors +3.5 (-110)
Toronto Raptors vs. Dallas Mavericks Score Prediction
Raptors vs Mavericks betting picks can go either way but going against the public, given how casinos have built up by winning against the public, makes us feel good about the Raptors.
Winning the rebounding margin and limiting the turnovers will be key on the road. VanVleet’s health will be a factor to watch, though.
Score Prediction : Raptors 109, Mavericks 104
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