It’s do or die for the Toronto Maple Leafs in Game 5 of their first-round playoff series against the Boston Bruins on Tuesday. With four playoff games on the NHL schedule today all at 3-1, four more series could come to an end. The Maple Leafs have lost three consecutive playoff series against the Bruins, but they’ve all been decided in seven games.
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Joseph Woll (2.93 GAA, .907 save percentage), who replaced starter Ilya Samsonov in Game 4, is likely to start in goal for the Maple Leafs betting analysis. Jeremy Swayman (2.53 GAA, .916 save percentage) will start his third consecutive game for the Bruins. Let’s take a closer look at the Maple Leafs vs Bruins best bets.
Game Details and Betting Picks
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins Information
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins
Location of the game: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts
Date & Time: Tuesday, April 30 at 7 p.m. ET
Where to Watch: ESPN and Sportsnet (Canada)
Phillies vs Angels Picks
- Picks: Bruins -160 & Under 5.5 (+100)
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Maple Leafs vs Bruins Recent odds
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins Recent Scores
Toronto did well in the first three games of the series, despite only one win, but were completely outplayed in game 4. Boston Bruins beat the Maple Leafs 3-1, with a late second period goal from David Pastrnak all but sealing the win for the Bruins. Toronto has been outscored 14-7 through in the first four NHL scores of the Maple Leafs vs Bruins best bets.
The sluggish start to the series continues a poor finish to the regular season for Toronto. The Maple Leafs lost four games in a row to finish the season. Boston, now one of the leading NHL picks today to win the Stanley Cup, lost consecutive games heading into the playoffs to finish second in the NHL standings for the Atlantic Division.
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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins Analysis
The Bruins deserve full credit for their performance through four games in the series, especially Swayman, who has had the Maple Leafs number, allowing just four goals through three games. However, Toronto has once again faltered when it matters most. The Toronto Maple Leafs had the seventh best power play in the regular season (23.9 percent). They are 1-14 with the man advantage in the series. Boston, which had the 14th-best power play (22.2 percent), has six power-play tallies in the series.
Boston also won all four regular-season games against Toronto this year, meaning they’ve now lost just once to Toronto in eight games this year. The Maple Leafs are one of the better road teams in the league, so they may actually have a better shot at winning Game 5 than they did Game 4. Boston, however, is a much better team in NHL stats for defense, ranking T5th in goals allowed (2.7) and T6th in penalty kill (82.5 percent), compared to the Leafs are 21st in goals allowed (3.18) and T22nd in penalty kill (76.9 percent).
Also of concern for the Maple Leafs is the status of Auston Matthews. The 2024 Rocket Richard winner scored 69 goals in the regular season and was a dominant force in Game 2, but has battled an illness in the last two games and didn’t practice on Monday. He’s questionable for Game 5. Bobby McMann is also on the NHL injury report. Boston is without Andrew Peeke and Matthew Poitras.
Odds Breakdown for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins
Toronto
The Maple Leafs are +135 moneyline underdogs with NHL odds of +1.5 (-200) for the puck line. The total for Maple Leafs vs Bruins best bets is 5.5, with over and under odds of -120 and +100.
Boston
For the Bruins best bets, Boston is a -160 moneyline favorite with -1.5 (+165) puck line odds.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins Betting Pick and Prediction
It’s hard to bet on the Maple Leafs considering how dire things are within the franchise right now. This could be the last game for the team’s “Core 4,” which has only won one playoff series since captain John Tavares signed with the team in 2018.
Discover the latest stats and trends of this matchup here:
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