The Dallas Stars and Minnesota Wild are riding two-game losing streaks into Friday night’s matchup, and neither team has been great in the last ten games.
While the Stars have been atop the Western Conference and Central Division NHL standings all season, and the Wild were always going to be fighting near the bottom of the playoff picture. We have very interesting odds for our Stars vs Wild betting analysis that suggest this game could be a toss-up.
We’re going to review the stats, trends, and odds in our Stars vs Wild betting analysis before making our NHL expert picks and explaining how this Stars vs Wild matchup is anything but a toss-up.
Dallas Stars vs. Minnesota Wild Odds
Dallas Stars vs. Minnesota Wild Information
Dallas Stars vs. Minnesota Wild
Location: Xcel Energy Center, Saint Paul, Minnesota
Date and Time: Friday, February 17th, 2023
How to Watch: NHLPP | ESPN+ | https://livestreamsports.co/
Dallas Stars vs. Minnesota Wild Recent Scores
This is the fourth and final matchup between these two Central Division NHL teams in 2022. Dallas holds a 2-1 edge in the season series, winning by a 4-1 score on December 29th and February 8th. Minnesota won the first game of the season 6-5 on December 4th, 2022.
The Dallas Stars lost their last game 3-2 in overtime to the Boston Bruins on February 14th, 2023.
The Minnesota Wild lost their last game 3-2 to the Colorado Avalanche on February 15th.
Dallas Stars vs. Minnesota Wild Betting Analysis
Dallas Stars: A Formidable Foe
The Dallas Stars are the top-ranked Western Conference team in the NHL standings, currently ranked seventh overall, while holding a two-point lead over the Winnipeg Jets for first place in the Central Division.
Dallas has lost two straight games, albeit to the Boston Bruins and Tampa Bay Lightning, and three of the last five games. The Stars are 4-6 straight-up in the last ten games.
The Stars are ranked 12th in scoring, averaging 3.29 goals per game, and have the ninth-ranked powerplay converting at 23.6%.
Defensively, Dallas knows the good fortunes of having great goaltending and solid defense. Dallas trails only Boston defensively, giving up 2.55 goals per game, ranking the Stars second in the NHL, while having the second-ranked penalty kill, operating at 83.9%
Dallas Stars Facts to Know
The Dallas Stars have hit the under in nine straight games. The under is 4-0 in the Stars’ last four games against the Central Division and Western Conference.
The Stars are 4-0 in the last four games against the Western Conference. The road team is 4-1 in the last five NHL games between these two teams.
Jason Robertson leads the Dallas Stars in NHL player stats with 71 points (34 goals, 37 assists). Robertson has five points in the last five Stars’ games. Roope Hintz has four goals in the last five games.
Minnesota Wild’s Challenging Schedule
Reviewing the recent Minnesota Wild game scheduler reveals Minnesota has had a difficult schedule in the last ten games, facing the likes of the Colorado Avalanche, Florida Panthers (twice), Vegas Golden Knights, New Jersey Devils, and their opposition on Friday, the Dallas Stars.
The Wild have lost two games in a row and five of the last six. Minnesota has a 3-7 straight-up record in the last ten games.
Minnesota’s recent scoring struggles aren’t new; it’s a season-long trend. Despite having the eighth-ranked power play, converting at 23.8%, the Wild are ranked 24th in scoring, averaging 2.89 goals per game.
Defensively, Minnesota’s stats are good enough to keep the Wild in the playoff mix. Minnesota is giving up 2.85 goals per game, ranked 11th in the NHL, while having the ninth-ranked penalty-kill, operating at 81.1%.
Minnesota Wild Facts to Know
The Minnesota Wild have hit the under in three straight games and have a 2-8 over/under record in the last five games. The under is 5-0 in Minnesota’s last five games against the central division.
The Wild are 0-4 in the last four games against the Western Conference.
Kirill Kaprizov leads Minnesota with 64 points (31 goals, 33 assists). Mats Zuccarello has five points in the last five games in the Wild’s NHL schedule.
Updates
Dallas Stars
We expect game-changing goalie Jake Oettinger to get the start for the Dallas Stars on Friday night. Oettinger has a 23-7-8 record, a 2.23 GAA, and a .925 SV%.
The Stars have left-winger Joel Kiviranta listed as day-to-day on the NHL injury report.
Minnesota Wild
Marc-Andre Fleury is the probable starter for the Wild on Friday night. Fleury has a 16-13-3 record, with a 2.98 GAA and a .901 SV%.
The Wild have left-winger Marcus Foligno listed as out on the NHL injury report as of publication.
Dallas Stars vs. Minnesota Wild Betting Preview
Any good Stars vs Wild betting analysis needs to review the NHL odds and both teams NHL betting records.
The Minnesota Wild and Dallas Stars and listed at almost the same odds on the moneyline. Minnesota is listed from -106 to -115, while Dallas is listed from -105 to -113. The Wild have a 28-26 straight-up record, while Dallas has a 30-25 straight-up record.
With the moneyline being this close, different sportsbooks have the Stars or the Wild as the puck line spread favorite.
With the Wild listed at -1.5 on the puck line spread, the odds range from +220 to +238, while at +1.5, Minnesota has odds from -265 to -333. The Wild have a 22-32 ats record.
The Stars are listed at +1.5 with odds between -275 and -295, while at -1.5, the Dallas are listed between +210 and +220. The Stars have a 30-25 ats record.
Checking recent Dallas Stars scores and results makes it clear why the total goals line is set to 5.5, which is low for most NHL games. The over is listed between -106 and -110, while the under is listed from -110 to -118. Dallas has a 19-33-3 over/under record, while Minnesota has a 22-30-2 over/under record.
Dallas Stars vs. Minnesota Wild Betting Prediction
After conducting our Stars vs Wild betting analysis, it’s time to make our NHL picks.
There are a lot of different lines to consider for our Stars vs Wild betting analysis, but there is only one moneyline pick to make: take the Dallas Stars. The Stars should be the moneyline favorite with much higher odds than currently listed.
Take the Stars at -106 to -110 before oddsmakers and the public push the Stars’ moneyline higher and out of this crazy value territory.
Our second pick is to take the under. Dallas has hit the under in nine straight games and is the second-best defensive team in the NHL. Add Dallas’ defensive capabilities and goaltending to Minnesota’s inefficient scoring five-on-five, mix in the betting trends of both teams hitting the under a lot recently, and you get a tasty pick on the under of 5.5 total goals.
Our final pick is relatively straightforward: since we’re taking the Dallas Stars on the moneyline and we can find them at underdog odds on the puck line spread, we’re taking Dallas +1.5 on the spread.
- NHL Picks: Dallas Stars ML, Dallas +1.5, Under
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