Only one team has a better record than the Connecticut Sun, who are 4-1 and off to yet another surprising start. They trail only the Las Vegas Aces, who have won all their WNBA games at 4-0.
But the Sun have the best record in the Eastern Conference and play as guests to the winless Minnesota Lynx, who have mightily struggled to open the season. They are winless in five attempts with an average deficit of 10.4 points per game.
But they will try to change that on their home court. Here is a breakdown of each team, WNBA odds, and a Sun vs Lynx prediction.
Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx Information
Connecticut Sun vs Minnesota Lynx
Location of the game: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
Date & Time: Thursday, June 1. 8:00 p.m. ET
How to watch: Prime Video | Bally Sports North Extra | NBC Sports Boston
Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx Recent Scores
In a defensive battle, the Sun struggled in an 81-78 victory over the Indiana Fever their last time out. Tiffany Hayes had 22 points on 11 shots, Alyssa Thomas had 13 points, 17 rebounds, and seven assists, and Brionna Jones had 19 points and 11 rebounds. The team shot 40% from the floor and 33% on 3-pointers.
Meanwhile, the Lynx had their best showing yet in a 94-89 loss to the Dallas Wings. Four Lynx scored 15 or more points, led by Kayla McBride’s 18 points. Tiffany Mitchell and Napheesa Collier each added 17, and Jessica Shepard had 15 points, 10 rebounds, and five assists. The Lynx made 49% of shots, including 9 for 18 on 3s.
Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx Betting Analysis
Sun need to stick to system
When the Sun lost Jonquel Jones to free agency, nobody should have been surprised by the WNBA news or their success after. Their defense has been what makes the Sun successful and this year is no exception.
They are third in allowing 75.0 points per game and first at holding teams to 25.9% on 3-pointers. But they are eighth at allowing 40.8% from the field. The key is a slower pace offensively, where they are eighth at scoring 76.8 points per game, 11th at making 38.2% of field goals, and ninth at making 31.7% of 3-pointers.
Lynx need to stack success
The Lynx are seventh at scoring 77.2 points per game and making 40.7% of field goal attempts. Yet they are 10th at making 30.7% of 3-pointers. Their offensive success against Dallas was solid, and that success in efficiency needs to stay in order to upend a Sun vs Lynx prediction.
Yet defensively, they are 10th in allowing 87.6 points per game, 44.3% on field goals, and 37.2% on 3-point shots.
Updates
Rookie Diamond Miller (ankle) is questionable for the Lynx, while forward Natalie Achonwa is listed out indefinitely due to personal reasons.
Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx Betting Preview
The Sun are favored by 7.5 points and are -320 on the moneyline. The Lynx are +260 on the moneyline with an over/under of 161.5 points. There are -110 odds on either side of the spread or over/under. The Sun’s implied team total is 84.5 points, while the Lynx’s implied total is 77 points, with -115 odds on either side of the spread.
The Sun have won and covered the last five games dating back to Aug. 17, 2021. Prior to that, the Lynx had won and covered five straight. The over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx Betting Prediction
The Sun have the better WNBA players and are 3-2 against the spread. But 7.5 is a lot of points for a team who likes to limit possessions. While the Lynx are 1-4 against the spread, they appear to be improving, at least in efficiency. Our Sun vs Lynx prediction is Lynx +7.5, but the Sun win outright.
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