The Utah State Aggies will look to remain atop the college basketball standings and amongst the last few undefeated teams in the nation on Monday when they host the Weber State Wildcats. Continue reading below to get our best Weber State vs Utah State Betting and much more.
The Aggies are currently 9-0 on the season and are favored by 16.5 points in this contest. The Wildcats enter the game with a record of 4-7 on the season but have won consecutive games going into Monday’s matchup.
Undefeated Teams
The Aggies enter the game as one of just five remaining undefeated teams in the nation after the Houston Cougars knocked the Virginia Cavaliers from the group on Saturday.
Ryan Odom’s team was coming off of a dominating victory over Westminster UT last this past Tuesday and rolled to a 106-68 victory at home.
The Aggies were led by Zee Hamoda, who put 28 points on the board, which serves as the 6’7 forward’s new career high.
Eric Duft is currently navigating his first season as a Division One head coach, and the results have been mixed.
While a 4-7 record doesn’t scream success, the Wildcats have landed victories over Cal Poly on the road and Abilene Christian, a team that ranks nearly 100 spots higher than them in the Pomeroy rankings and higher NCAAB odds.
Wildcats’ Most Recent Outing
The victory over Cal Poly came in the Wildcats most recent outing when they boat-raced the Mustangs by a final count of 74-45.
Weber State basketball team was led by Steven Verplancken’s 15 points while boasting three additional players in double figures.
The Wildcats scored 1.19 points per possession on offense while holding their opponent to just 0.73 point per possession.
Team Records:
- Utah State Aggies: 9-0 (0-0)
- Weber State Wildcats: 4-7 (0-0)
Matchup Information
This rivalry runs deep and long as the two teams have a rivalry going back to the 1970-71 season.
Monday’s matchup marks the 74th time these two programs have met over the last 52 seasons, with the Aggies coming away victorious in 45 of those meetings.
The Wildcats won consecutive games in the series in 2016 and 2017 but have since lost three consecutive contests, including a 55-point thumping during the 2019-20 season in Logan.
In the most recent meeting, Utah State landed a 15-point victory in Ogden behind Steven Ashworth’s 27 points, along with Brock Miller and Brandon Horvath’s combined 40 points. Koby McEwen led the Wildcats with 26 points.
Weber State Wildcats vs. Utah State Aggies Betting Analysis
According to the metrics, college basketball picks today state the expected spread is warranted as the Aggies clearly boast the advantage on both sides of the ball.
Weber State is a slow and inefficient team, ranking 268th in the nation in tempo and just 259th in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency.
The Aggies aren’t exactly a defensive juggernaut, but they are effective, ranking 66th in the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency.
Offensive Glass
Utah State also keeps their opponents off of the offensive glass, ranking fifth in the nation in opponents offensive rebounding percentage.
Utah State has covered the anticipated margin in three of their last four qualifying games, with the total going under the total in their last two games against division one opponents.
That is a deviation from how the season started, as Coach Odom’s team went OVER the title in five consecutive NCAA basketball games earlier in the season.
The Wildcats are currently last in the Big Sky Conference against the spread at 2-7 on the season.
They are underperforming the number by an average of -1.3 points though they were able to dominate as an underdog in their most recent game against Cal Poly.
Weber State Wildcats
Steven Verplancken is back this season and is the second-leading scorer for this team at 12.9 points per game.
The 6 ‘3 junior guards is shooting an astounding 49.1% from behind the arc on the season and is one of only nine college basketball players in the nation shooting 49% or better on at least 55 attempts from deep.
Dillon Jones is the season’s leading scorer and rebounding for Weber State, averaging 13.9 points and 9.3 rebounds per game.
Jones has scored double-figures in five consecutive games and at least double-digit rebounds in four of those games.
Wildcats’ Struggles
The Wildcats’ struggles this season can be traced back to the fact that they simply are not exceptional in any one aspect of the game.
Weber State turns the ball over too much (321st in the nation), they don’t shoot the ball well from deep (282nd), and they allow their opponents to shoot nearly 40% from beyond the arc, ranking 347th in the nation in defensive three-point percentage.
Utah State Aggies
Utah State’s 9-0 start this season is not all that surprising, as the Aggies are consistently one of the most undervalued programs in the nation. Ryan Odom is in his second season in Logan and appears to be well on his way to improving upon his 18-16 record from last season.
Odom is, of course, famous for leading the only 16 seed to a victory in the first round of the NCAA Tournament when his UMBC team took down Virginia in the 2018 NCAA Tournament.
This season, the Aggies are led by junior Steven Ashworth in points at 18.4 per game, while he also ranks second in assists at 4.8 per contest.
The 6’1 guard is one of five players on the team currently averaging at least 9.7 points per game for the fifth-highest-scoring team in the nation at 88.2 points per game.
Utah State’s Ranks
Utah State ranks second in the nation in effective field goal percentage offense and leading the nation in three-point shooting as a team at a ridiculous 43.7%.
They don’t hit the offensive glass very hard, ranking 262nd in the nation. Still, they are also very effective at limiting their opponents’ offensive rebounding opportunities, as they rank fifth in the nation in defensive, offensive rebounding percentage.
Weber State vs. Utah State Betting Preview
There is no reason to overthink this game. You have the best shooting team in the nation from behind the three-point line hosting one of the worst NCAAB teams in the nation defending the arc.
The Wildcats are also just 1-4 against the spread on the road this season, while the Aggies are 4-1 ATS, outperforming the number by +4.9 points per contest.
Weber State vs. Utah State Prediction
Expect the Aggies to bombard the Wildcats from deep in their first home game against a division one opponent since December 1st.
The fact that the game is also a regional rivalry game will only serve as motivation for Utah State at home.
Expect Odom and the Aggies to land their tenth victory on the season and remain perfect while covering the big spread.
NCAAB Pick: Utah State -17 (-110)
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