One of college football’s biggest surprises, the TCU Horned Frogs (10-0) head due south on I-35 for a matchup with the Baylor Bears (6.4).
One of the most anticipated games on the college football schedule this week since it has playoff implications, the Horned Frogs and Bears have met 117 times on the gridiron, with TCU leading 57-53-7. TCU has claimed two in a row in the series.
A Schools’ Religious Roots Matchup
Given both schools’ religious roots, the series had been dubbed the Revivalry and is regarded as one of the oldest and most contested in college football.
A few trends to keep an eye on; the over is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings between the two schools, and the Horned Frogs are 5-2 ATS versus the Bears in the last seven meetings.
Check out all of the information, college football team stats, college football player stats, as well as the college football injury report when making your TCU vs Baylor best bets.
Expectations for the TCU Horned Frogs
The TCU Horned Frogs will look to continue their winning ways as they visit Waco to take on the Baylor Bears for a matchup.
TCU sits atop the Big 12 college football team standings. When looking over college football point spreads, TCU is a 2.5-point road favorite, while the game total is set for 57.5.
Other Factors that Influence Your Best Bets
Many other factors are in play when it comes to TCU vs Baylor best bets, but what cannot be underestimated is the intangible momentum the Horned Frogs have had in 2022, seemingly finding ways to win games every which way.
Of all the college football matchups this week, this is just one of just six that has a direct impact on which teams are selected for the college football playoff.
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Baylor Bears
Matchup Information
- Venue: McLane Stadium, Waco, Texas
- Matchup Time: Noon ET
- How to Watch: The game is part of the Big 12 on Fox weekly package
- Where to Watch: The game is available on your local FOX affiliate as well as on FOXsports.com.
TCU Horned Frogs Analysis
Offense
The Horned Frogs run an average of 73.0 offensive snaps per game and are nearly perfectly balanced between the run and pass.
They ranked 15th nationally in total yards and are 46th through the air and 28th on the ground.
TCU tends to save its best for last, as they’ve outscored their opponents 111-55 in the final quarter of the first ten games.
In their last six games, they have overcome pretty significant halftime deficits twice and have been in one-score games heading into the final quarter in five of the six.
Defense
In looking at TCU football stats, the Horned Frogs rank 84th in America in rushing yards against and have proven to be somewhat susceptible to the pass, surrendering 243.0 yards per contest.
As mentioned, the defense has gotten stronger as the games have worn on, as they’ve allowed an average of 11.2 points in the second half this year.
They’ve also held the opposition to just a 69 percent conversion rate when it comes to red zone touchdowns.
Baylor Analysis
Offense
Thought to be a strength of the team heading into 2022, the Baylor Bears‘ offensive unit has run an average of 75.9 offensive snaps per game and runs a little less than 2 percent more than it runs.
Until last week’s 31-3 setback at home to Kansas State, Baylor had scored two or more points in all but one of their other games. Statistically, they have proven to be more productive on the ground than they are in the air.
When examining Baylor Bears rankings, the team is 41st best in America and third best in the Big 12 in third down conversions, moving the sticks 44.9 percent of the time.
Defense
The Bears’ defense ranks 102nd nationally in total yards allowed while faring better against the run than the pass. The team has recorded 19 sacks and forced fumbles on the year.
NCAAF Stats and Standings
As mentioned, the Horned Frogs sit all alone atop the Big 12 with an overall mark of 10-0 and a league record of 7-0. On the year, Sonny Dykes’ team is 8-1-1 ATS.
The Baylor Bears are 6-4 overall with a 4-3 record within the Big 12 and are 6-4 this year ATS.
Most Remarkable Player for this Matchup
TCU QB Max Duggan
Of all the TCU vs Baylor best bets on the board this week, the one that cannot be measured is the size of TCU quarterback Max Duggan’s heart.
A starter since Week 3 of his true freshman campaign, Duggan has not only put up great stats on the field and in the classroom, but his leadership qualities have proven invaluable.
While his passing numbers are downright gaudy, he has accumulated 1,674 yards on the ground in his career and scored 23 rushing touchdowns. Through the air, he has passed for over 8,000 yards, and 66 TD’s against just 22 picks.
TCU WR Quentin Johnston
Labeled a top 10 pick in many NFL mock drafts, the speedy Johnston is a serious threat every time he steps between the lines.
A first-team all-league selection as a sophomore, the junior from Temple, Texas, has put up tremendous numbers, all while being the focus of the defense’s attention on a week-in and week-out basis.
This season, he has finally stayed healthy and capitalized on his immense talent as he has put up career highs in catches (45) and yards (716) and is one touchdown away from tying his career high of 6 last season.
Baylor RB Richard Reese
A relatively small yet incredibly shifty and agile back, Richard Reese has made his impact felt as a true freshman in Waco. Thus far, he has run for 852 yards and 12 touchdowns.
He’s had three extremely explosive performances, running for over148 yards against Texas State, Kansas, and Texas Tech. He has found paydirt in seven of his team’s ten games.
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