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Home▷NFL Picks▷Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers Betting Picks and Prediction

Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers Betting Picks and Prediction

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Andy Lyons/Getty Images/AFP

Bank of America Stadium plays host to Thursday night football as the Carolina Panthers (2-7) host the Atlanta Falcons (4-5) for an NFC battle on Amazon Prime in one of the better NFL matchups of the week. Continue reading below to get our best Falcons vs Panthers Betting Picks and much more. 

The Falcons will look to bounce back from an overtime loss to the Chargers at home, 20-17, while the Panthers hope to rebound from a brutal loss to the Bengals, 42-21, on the road. 

Both of these teams have not played the best football and are seemingly trending in opposite directions.

NFC South

The Atlanta Falcons hold the top spot in the division, while Carolina has fallen out of contention, holding the last-place spot in the NFC South. Will the Panthers get back on track with a win at home? 

Can the Falcons separate themselves from the rest of the division with a win? Let’s take a closer look at this matchup and check out the best Falcons vs Panthers betting picks.

Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers  

 

 

Matchup Info 

  • Game Day: Sunday, November 6, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Amazon Prime
  • Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
  • Stadium: Bank of America Stadium

 

Atlanta Falcons Performance Recap and Analysis

The Falcons stats were not great last Sunday as they lost 20-17 against the Chargers in Week Nine and are now 4-5 overall, failing to surpass the .500 mark once more.

Atlanta gained 201 yards on the ground, but the team’s struggles in the passing game and two crucial turnovers made the difference on Sunday.

Falcons’ Defense

The Atlanta defense did its job to keep the offense in the game, as they conceded just 20 points while forcing a fumble and an interception.

Atlanta’s defensive unit has been solid this year, forcing 11 takeaways, but they conceded a whopping 415.6 yards on defense, the second most in the league.

According to NFL team stats, the Falcons are the second-worst defense in the league. 

Despite losing two of their last three games, they still remain in the thick of the NFC South playoff race. At 4-5, they still remain in first place, and a win here could provide some breathing room for Arthur Smith’s squad. 

Key Injuries

When it comes to the NFL injury report, Cornerback A.J. Terrell and left guard Elijah Wilkinson will both sit out in Week Ten 

Betting Trends to Know

Atlanta is 6-3 ATS this season but have gone 0-3 ATS in their last three contests. In terms of the total, the Falcons have gone under the number in four of their last six contests.

When playing away from home, the Atlanta Falcons are 3-1 ATS this year. 

Carolina Panthers Performance Recap and Analysis

The Panthers’ schedule has continued to give them trouble as they dropped their seventh game of the season, moving their overall record to 2-7 on the year.

2022 Campaign’s Struggle

In his fourth start of the 2022 campaign, PJ Walker struggled. The third-year quarterback finished with just nine yards with two interceptions, and Coach Steve Wilks turned to Baker Mayfield after going down 35-0 at the half. 

In his first game back, Mayfield completed 14 passes for 155 yards and two scores, albeit against some prevent defense in garbage time, according to NFL player stats.

Panthers’ Defense and Offense

The offense continued to struggle like they have all season, as they posted just 21 points and 228 yards while committing three turnovers. 

The Carolina defensive unit has been their biggest issue vaulting them to last place in the NFL standings. Over their last two games, the Panthers have surrendered 79 points and 870 yards. 

Poor tackling and a lack of takeaways allowed the Bengals to run wild on Carolina. They will look to fend off a strong Atlanta rushing attack next week.

Key Injuries

  • Donte Jackson (Ankle)
  • Chuba Hubbard (ankle)
  • Juston Burris (Concussion)

 

Are all listed as questionable. 

Betting Trends to Know

Carolina comes into this matchup 3-6 ATS. Carolina failed to cover the number in their last game but covered the number in the previous two games. 

In terms of the total, the Over has hit in three of their last five games, including going over in each of their last two contests. The Panthers are just 2-3 ATS at home this season. 

Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers Odds

When it comes to Falcons vs Panthers betting picks, the Atlanta Falcons are the road favorites in this game according to spread oddsmakers, which is set at -1.5 points (-110). 

The Falcons are given -125 odds to win on the road, while the Carolina Panthers are given +105 odds to win as the home underdogs. The game’s Over/Under total has been set at 42.5 points.

Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers Betting Picks

 

Moneyline

When it comes to Falcons vs Panthers betting picks, the Atlanta Falcons are a real threat to win the NFC East.

Not only did they defeat Carolina in their last matchup, but they have developed a solid offensive identity as a run-first team. 

The Carolina Panthers let the Bengals run all over them to the tune of 241 yards and five rushing touchdowns.

With a healthy Cordarelle Patterson back in the lineup, expect Atlanta to dominate this matchup on the ground.

NFL Pick: Falcons (-125)

Point Total

The last time these two matched up in Atlanta, the total went Over. I like the over again in this matchup.

Carolina’s defense is one of the worst in the league; not only did they concede 37 points to the Falcons in their last matchup, but they also surrendered 42 points to the Bengals last week. 

Additionally, Atlanta has the second-worst-ranked defense, as they are allowing opponents over 415 yards per game. This matchup should be another shootout.

NFL Pick: Over 41.5 (-110)

Spread

After being the spread darlings of the NFL schedule in the early part of the year, the Falcons have now failed to cover the spread in three straight contests.

This will be a good opportunity for them to bounce back, Carolina is playing terrible defense, and they are mixing and matching pieces on offense. 

Atlanta will be able to control the line of scrimmage with their ability to run the football, while Carolina waves the white flag in the hope of a high draft pick. Back Atlanta in this spot.

NFL Pick: Falcons -1.5 (-110)

Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers Score Prediction

There is not much to like about either of these teams, but the bottom line is the Atlanta Falcons are in a much better position than the Carolina Panthers are on both sides of the ball. 

Offensively, Arthur Smith and the Atlanta Falcons have made it clear they are a run-first team, as they have the fifth-best rushing attack in the NFL, averaging a whopping 158.1 yards on the ground.

This has translated into one of the best offenses in the league, as Atlanta holds the sixth-best scoring offense in the NFL, averaging 25 points per game. 

Who to Bet On?

Conversely, the Carolina Panthers are surrendering 27.8 points per game over their last six contests, and an unmotivated defensive unit conceded 464 yards and 42 points last week to the Bengals.

To make matters worse for Carolina, they continue to play quarterback carousel, and it looks like Baker Mayfield is back taking over QB1. 

Carolina is trying to find answers at this point in the season, while the Falcons have a legitimate chance to win the NFC South.

Expect the Falcons’ offense to lean on their strong run game while their defense will capitalize on Baker Mayfield’s mistakes. The Falcons take this one on the road. 

Score Prediction: Falcons 27, Panthers 23

NFL Pick: Falcons -1.5 (-110)

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