Super Bowl LVII is here, meaning betting props that provide a multitude of non-traditional wagering options that add excitement and increase investment in a game that fans might not have a partisan rooting interest in. They often involve individual player or team statistics, novelty events like the national anthem length, and various outcomes unrelated to the final score, in this case take a look at Patrick Mahomes prop bets.
Especially with such a large, far-reaching event, props allow for one-of-a-kind ways to express an appreciation for the sport well beyond just who wins and loses.
In this case, we’ll be looking at odds and lines for Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes, who his team counts on to spearhead an air-based scheme. It’s very likely that remains true when Kansas City looks for its second Super Bowl title in four years Sunday.
NFL player stats show Mahomes had maybe the best campaign of his career so far, pacing the NFL in passing yards (5,250), passing scores (41), and passes of at least 20 yards (73) over the course of the NFL regular season schedule. His NFL MVP odds are high.
Let’s look at some Patrick Mahomes prop bets.
Super Bowl Betting Odds
Touchdown Over/Under
Mahomes’ touchdown total is currently fixed at 1.5. He’s proven that, no matter who his pass-catchers are, he can excel in NFL team stats.
He finished first among all passers in the regular season with 41 passing scores. In Philly, he will come across a pass defense that has only given up 21 passing touchdowns to opponents. In 13 career postseason games, the Mahomes has put up 2.46 touchdown passes per game.
He’s regularly topped that number recently, so NFL odds are set as high as -225 at some sportsbooks.
Betting pick: Over 1.5 touchdown passes (-210)
Pass Attempts
Now for the second of our Patrick Mahomes prop bets, Andy Reid and company will assumedly prefer to air the ball out — even with tailback Clyde Edwards-Helaire having been activated after being out an extended period of time with an injury. Keep an eye on the NFL injury report.
Sure, rookie Isiah Pacheco has stepped up, but does anyone really think that the Chiefs are going to put the game on either of their shoulders?
The total for Mahomes’ throws in the game is 39.5, a total that he’s surpassed eight times this go-round, most recently against Cincinnati in the AFC Championship game. However, before that, he only threw the ball 30 times against Jacksonville. Of course, that was the game that he sat out of for a bit with his sprained ankle — another thing that will factor into these picks.
Again, Reid knows his best chance at lifting a second Lombardi Trophy is to put it in the hands of his historically talented signal-caller. It definitely wouldn’t be the first time.
Mahomes is averaging 39.3 pass attempts over his last nine postseason outings. He’s tried 42 and 49 passes in his last two visits to the game’s grandest stage.
Then, you have to consider the task at hand in the Eagles. Similarly to the 2019 49ers and the 2020 Buccaneers, Philadelphia boasts a formidable defensive front. As did the Bengals heading into the last game, though. Mahomes was able to get the job done while easily going over 39.5 pass attempts, just as he did against the 49ers and Buccaneers.
Betting pick: Over 39.5 pass attempts (-132)
Longest Completion
Because of an ailing Chiefs wide receivers room, this one is hard to read. On the year, Mahomes has completed a pass over the projection of 37.5 yards in 12 of 19 NFL matchups and has not done so in either of the last two games on the NFL schedule. You also have to consider the fact that Mahomes missed some time in the divisional clash due to his ankle. In the AFC Championship, his longest completion was a 29-yard connection with Marquez Valdes-Scantling.
This will be the rare under with Patrick Mahomes prop bets.
- Betting pick: Under 37.5 yards (-118)
Feel free to include these prop bets in any NFL picks and parlays you create. Mahomes is the reason why his team finishes where it does in the NFL standings. Expect him to have a stellar showing. It all comes down to this in the NFL playoff bracket.
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