Diego Simeone’s Atletico Madrid and Jorge Sampaoli’s Sevilla go head-to-head at the Estadio Metropolitano in the Spanish capital on Saturday. The hosts are many people’s La Liga picks to get the win in this one.
Atleti are the clear favorites on home turf, and we track down the Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla best bets and provide betting tips in this in-depth soccer betting preview.
Atletico Madrid vs. Sevilla Matchup Information
Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla
Location: Estadio Metropolitano, Madrid
Date and Time: Saturday, March 4, 2023, 3:00 PM ET
How to Watch: ESPN+
Recent Scores
When these two La Liga teams met in the reverse game at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan back in October, Madrid returned to the capital with all three points in the bag. Goals from Marcos Llorente Alvaro Morata were enough for a 2-0 away win.
The last game between the two at the Metropolitano ended in a 1-1 draw last May. Sevilla have picked up a few home wins over Atleti in recent years, but they have never won at the Metropolitano in the league. Can the Seville side change that this weekend? If you are looking to bet on the Sevilla game today, keep reading for the Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla best bets and La Liga picks.
Atletico Madrid vs. Sevilla Analysis
Title Hopes Fade as Atletico Madrid Fight for Top Four Finish
Before a ball was kicked this season, finishing in the top four was the priority for Simeone’s side. They are on course to achieve their goal, as Atleti are in fourth position right now with 42 points to their name.
Overall, Colchoneros have secured 12 wins, drawn six times and have suffered five defeats. Despite sitting in fourth position, they are well behind in the race for the title, as Barcelona are 17 points ahead. Atleti also trail rivals Real Madrid by ten points and are a point behind third-place Real Sociedad. Still, the Atletico Madrid standings are looking much better for their fans after an upswing in fortunes of late.
Madrid have been on a pretty solid run of late, unbeaten in the league since a narrow home loss to Barcelona back in early January. They have gone on to win four and draw three of seven in La Liga, seeing off Real Valladolid, Osasuna, Celta Vigo and Athletic Bilbao without conceding a single goal.
Last time out, Atleti drew with bitter rivals Real in a Madrid derby at the Santiago Bernabeu. Despite Angel Correa’s 64th-minute red card, Simeone’s troops took the lead with just 12 minutes remaining. However, Alvaro Rodriguez rescued a point for the champions in the 85th minute.
From Top Four to Mid-Table: Sevilla’s Disappointing Performance
Sevilla are having a tough time in La Liga this season. Julen Lopetegui departed in October, with Sampaoli replacing him instantly. They finished in fourth and claimed a Champions League spot last term, but Rojiblancos languish in 14th right now.
Sevilla have suffered ten league defeats, which is already six more than they did last season. Overall, they have won six, drawn seven and lost ten. The Seville side find themselves in 14th with a mere 25 points to their name. They have scored 26 and conceded 33.
Sevillistas were starting to show signs of life after nine wins from 13 league and cup matches. However, they are winless in three La Liga matches. They drew in La Liga with Rayo Vallecano before losing to PSV Eindhoven in the UEFA Europa league and Osasuna in the league.
Sevilla’s last four away wins have all come in the Copa Del Rey. They have not won on their travels in the league since a 1-0 success at Mallorca way back in mid-October. They have picked up just two away league victories all season.
Sevilla are desperate for points as they look to climb up the table. A top-half finish must be the aim for Rojiblancos. Their away form has been poor this season, and they have a bad record at the Metropolitano, but can they cause an upset in the capital on the weekend?
Odds Breakdown
1×2 Odds
Atletico Madrid: -150
Sevilla: +425
Draw: +260
Asian Handicap Odds
Atletico Madrid +0: -357
Sevilla -0: +280
Over/Under Odds
Over 2.5 Goals: +120
Under 2.5 Goals: -150
Atletico Madrid vs. Sevilla Betting Pick and Prediction
Atletico Madrid head into this home matchup in good form. Their performance at the Bernabeu was solid last weekend, and Simeone’s side are a notoriously tough side to beat on their own patch.
Only Barcelona, Real Madrid and Villarreal have won at Atleti’s home this season, while Sevilla have been dreadful on their travels in the league. With that in mind, we are backing a comfortable home win here.
Madrid have kept clean sheets in their last three home wins, and they won 2-0 in Seville earlier in the campaign. For out Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla best bets, we like the look of the hosts to win to nil on Saturday at +150. Also, take a punt on Atletico to be winning at half time and full time at +175.
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