The 2024 French Open at Roland Garros will have a predictable finish on the tennis schedule, at least for the women’s draw on Saturday. Iga Swiatek, a three-time winner at Roland Garros and the current world No. 1, takes on Italian underdog Jasmine Paolini in a somewhat surprising final. Paolini is into her first career grand slam final, while Swiatek has won 18 consecutive matches and is a massive betting favorite (-1400) to win the French Open for the fourth time in her career. Continue reading as we unveil our Swiatek vs Paolini Betting Analysis.
She should have no trouble winning, considering she has lost just one set in the entire tournament, but Paolini is also a good bet to cover the +6.5 (+110) spread for the women’s French Open betting picks.
Iga Swiatek vs Jasmine Paolini Information
Iga Swiatek vs Jasmine Paolini
Location: Stade Roland Garros in Paris, France
Date & Time: Saturday, June 8 at 9 a.m. ET
Watch On: ESPN
Swiatek vs Paolini Picks
- Tennis Pick: Paolini +6.5 (+110)
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Iga Swiatek vs Jasmine Paolini Betting Analysis
As mentioned, Swiatek is a -1400 betting favorite in the women’s French Open betting picks. Paolini, meanwhile, is a +750 underdog, which is definitely the longest tennis betting odds for a French Open final in quite some time. Other betting markets for our Swiatek vs Paolini betting analysis include the total (17.5) and games spread of Paolini +6.5 (+110) and Swiatek -6.5 (-150).
Iga Swiatek vs Jasmine Paolini Betting Preview and Updates
Swiatek is 2-0 in two career matches against Paolini, although they haven’t played each other since the 2022 US Open. Swiatek earned a spot in the French Open finals with a straight set victory over Coco Gauff, while Paolini beat Mirra Andreeva, a 17-year-old Russian teen sensation, in the other semi-final.
Iga Swiatek vs Jasmine Paolini Recent Scores
Swiatek
- 6-2, 6-4 win over Coco Gauff
- 6-0, 6-2 win over Marketa Vondrousova
- 6-0, 6-0 win over Anastasia Potapova
- 6-4, 6-2 win over Marie Bouzkova
- 7-6 (1), 1-6, 7-5 win over Naomi Osaka
Paolini
- 6-3, 6-1 win over Mirra Andreeva
- 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 win over Elena Rybakina
- 4-6, 6-0, 6-1 win over Elina Avanesyan
- 6-1, 3-6, 6-0 win over Bianca Andresscu
- 6-4, 7-6 (6) win over Hailey Baptiste
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Iga Swiatek Analysis: Dominant in Recent Matches
Swiatek is 44-4 coming into the women’s French Open final betting picks and 20-1 on clay courts. She has been particularly dominant in recent matches, needing only two sets to beat 2023 US Open winner Coco Gauff and losing only two games in her previous two matches. She’s the best clay court player in the world and looks unbeatable at this point.
Key Injuries
Swiatek doesn’t have any injury concerns ahead of the French Open women’s final betting match-up.
Betting Trends to Know
- Swiatek has won 18 consecutive matches and is 2-0 in her career against Paolini.
- She has covered the -6.5 games spread in both of her wins against Paolini and both matches have been under the 17.5 total.
Jasmine Paolini Analysis: First Grand Slam Final
Paolini hadn’t been past the third round at a grand slam prior to this season, but reached the fourth round at the Australian Open and earned a career-best world No. 12 ranking in early May. She is now into her first grand slam final after beating some quality opponents, including Elena Rybakina, but it will take a lot to upset Swiatek.
Key Injuries
Paolini doesn’t have any health concerns heading into the next tennis slam final.
Betting Trends to Know
- Paolini has gone to three sets in three of her last four matches.
- She is 0-2 in her career against Swiatek.
Iga Swiatek vs Jasmine Paolini Betting Prediction
Swiatek should win this one. She’s such a massive betting favorite that it would be lunacy to suggest otherwise. However, Paolini should at least make it a closer match than their two prior meetings, considering there’s a grand slam title at stake.
Paolini at +6.5 (+110) is a good pick as she can cover the spread even with a straight set loss – and she should at least be competitive in one set. Hope you enjoyed our Swiatek vs Paolini betting analysis and good luck with all your Tennis picks!
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