After a shocking first meeting between Adrian Curiel and Sivenathi Nontshinga in 2023, the rematch takes place this Friday night in Oaxaca, Mexico in a beautiful open-air Auditorium to give the new champ a chance to prove that the belt is rightfully his in his home country.
Curiel vs. Nontshinga Picks
- Pick: Nontshinga ML (+122).
Continue reading for the official Curiel vs Nontshinga prediction ahead of betting on boxing this weekend.
Curiel vs. Nontshinga Information
Adrian Curiel vs Sivenathi Nontshinga
Location of the game: Auditorium Guelaguetza, Oaxaca, Mexico
Date and Time: February 16, 2024, 10 PM ET estimated ring walk
How to Watch: DAZN
Last Fight Results:
These two faced off in November 2023 in Monaco for Nontshinga’s IBF world junior flyweight title. Curiel shocked everybody with a brutal second-round KO victory over the highly-touted South African champion.
Adrian Curiel vs Sivenathi Nontshinga Betting Analysis
Adrian Curiel
Curiel is a Mexican boxer with a professional record of 24-4-1, including 5 wins by KO so far at the age of 25. Before stunningly winning the world title, Curiel has flown way under everyone’s radar in the boxing community. He virtually has zero information about his career before becoming champion.
Curiel has been in the ring with only two notable fighters before Nontshinga; Daniel Valladares (a former champion) and Joselito Velásquez (Olympian), and lost to both. He’s listed as a 5’4” orthodox fighter with a 64” reach. He has accumulated a total of 190 professional rounds under his belt since making his debut in 2016.
Sivenathi Nontshinga
Nontshinga is a South African professional boxer with a record of 12-1, including 9 wins via KO so far at the age of 25. The highly-ranked junior flyweight held the IBF title from 2022 to 2023 when he lost it to Curiel in November.
Nontshinga is one of the most highly-touted fighters to come out of Africa in years and was picked to easily out-box and beat Curiel in their first meeting. He’s listed as a 5’5” orthodox boxer with a 67” reach. Nontshinga has completed 82 professional rounds since making his debut in 2017.
Updates
DAZN and Matchroom have not reported any injuries.
Adrian Curiel vs Sivenathi Nontshinga Betting Preview
Making a Curiel vs Nontshinga prediction is very interesting in this unique scenario. The massive underdog KO’d the champion early in the first appearance and that will certainly play a big role in the way Nontshinga comes out on Friday night.
The boxing betting odds for this championship bout have the champion coming in as the -156 betting favorite this time around after being a +500 underdog in the first meeting. Nontshinga is coming in with +122 underdog odds at BetUS.
This bout is favored to go to a decision at -210 even though it ended last time in less than 5 minutes.
Stylistically, we broke it down perfectly in the previous betting analysis and prediction last November. Curiel is a pressure fighter who squares up to his opponent with a high guard and looks to land big hooks to the body and head, countering jabs.
Nontshinga moves around the ring well and is very comfortable fighting on the outside, using his fast jab to keep his opponents at range and countering with incredible speed and accuracy.
Their first fight is easy to analyze; Nontshinga was handling the pressure and output of Curiel pretty well in the first round, and then Curiel landed a literally perfect punch. The jab might have been a little nonchalant from Nontshinga, but the counter was as perfect as a punch can be.
Adrian Curiel vs Sivenathi Nontshinga Betting Prediction
The official Curiel vs Nontshinga prediction is that Nontshing will get his belt back and prove that he is the better boxer. Being able to bet on him to win a boxing match at underdog odds is too good to pass up.
Curiel is already a very aggressive fighter and gets greedy a lot with his right hand, falling forward and out of position. After landing a punch of a lifetime last time, you can almost guarantee he won’t be able to hold himself back from trying to land that again early on.
The speed and sharp counterpunching of Nontshinga will allow him to be able to take advantage of the over-aggressive behavior of Curiel on Friday night and get the job done. It’s too risky to bet on whether or not this is a KO win or not, so just take the money line.
Subscribe to the Insider’s Betting Digest mailing list to receive free boxing picks for big events.
- Pick: Nontshinga ML (+122).
If you love sports and want more sports betting information follow us as @InsidersBetDig on Twitter and sign up to our mailing list for free betting picks. Make sure to visit the best offshore betting sites to maximize your betting experience.