Pick Analysis
The New Zealand All Blacks and England kick off their international series in New Zealand on Saturday.
Boasting new-look teams, a competitive game is expected at Forsyth Barr, but the All Blacks are -12.5 favorites.
We have an All Blacks vs England betting preview for the big game, where rugby fans get to see the haka in full noise.
All Blacks vs England Information
New Zealand vs England
Location of the game: Forsyth Barr, Dunedin, New Zealand
Date & Time: Saturday, July 6, 3:05am
Where to watch: Rugby Live Streaming
All Blacks vs England Picks
![All Blacks logo](data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20width='0'%20height='0'%20viewBox='0%200%200%200'%3E%3C/svg%3E)
- Pick: All Blacks -12.5
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All Blacks vs England Betting Analysis
The All Blacks are very rarely underdogs, so it comes as no surprise to see them as the -625 outright favorites.
Having home-field advantage plays into their hands, but the game is played in Dunedin under a roof. They have a much better record at Eden Park in Auckland, so the line could have been much bigger.
Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline |
---|---|---|
BetUS Odds | All Blacks: -12.5 +112 England: +12.5 -152 |
All Blacks: -625 England: +360 |
BetOnline Odds | All Blacks: -11.5 -115 England: +11.5 -115 |
All Blacks: -495 England: +370 |
Bookmaker Odds | All Blacks: -10.5 -110 England: +10.5 -110 |
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Most of the money has come for the England at +12.5. It has been backed into -152, so bettors should expect the line to move to -11.5.
That would be a big move. The key lines in rugby betting are 5.5, 7.5, 10.5, and 12.5, so moving to 13.5 could see money come for England.
All Blacks vs England Betting Preview & Updates
The All Blacks are expected to firm with the best online rugby betting odds, and they have named a strong team.
England struggles to win test matches in New Zealand, which is why it’s the outsider. However, it’s good enough to cover the betting spread.
Keeping it within a two-try margin is within their reach, especially considering it’s the first game of the international season.
However, despite the All Blacks having rust, their record in New Zealand is unparalleled.
All Blacks vs England Recent Scores
New Zealand
- All Blacks 11 – South Africa 12 (World Cup Final)
- All Blacks 44 – Argentina 6
- All Blacks 28 – Ireland 24
- All Blacks 73 – Uruguay 0
- All Blacks 96 – Italy 17
England
- England 52 – Japan 17
- England 31 – France 33
- England 23 – Ireland 22
- England 21 – Scotland 30
- England 16 – Wales 14
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All Blacks Analysis: Making a Statement
It’s all about making a statement for the All Blacks, and they want to get their international campaign off to a winning start.
New coach Scott Robertson made a few changes to the team that finished second at the 2023 World Cup, and we believe they were changes for the future.
They might take some time to gel, but he mostly picked the best players available, and they are attacking threats.
Playing under the roof is ideal for running rugby, which the All Blacks excel at. England will look to use its defense, but they’re not good at scoring.
Rugby odds are right to have the All Blacks heavily favored to win.
Key Injuries
It’s not an injury, but Hoskins Sotutu was unlucky not to make the team for the first test.
Betting Trends to Know
The -12.5 line hasn’t been very well backed, so bettors should expect to see that line move to around +10.5.
England Analysis: Needing Improvement
It wasn’t a good Six Nations campaign for England, so they need to show improvement before the major tournaments arrive.
However, facing New Zealand on the road barely works out well for the English. They struggle to put enough points on the board, but winter rugby is where they excel.
Unfortunately, as our All Blacks vs England betting preview said, this game is played under a roof, so winter conditions don’t apply.
That’s why we’re not backing them to cover the spread.
Key Injuries
There are no major injuries for the England national side.
Betting Trends to Know
England +12.5 has firmed considerably throughout the week, but money could stop to come for the visitors.
All Blacks vs England Betting Prediction
Despite most of the money coming for England at +12.5, we’re backing the All Blacks to win comfortably.
They have a much more aggressive team, which usually wins international rugby tests, and playing at home helps.
England comes off an average Six Nations result, and we don’t see enough improvement in them to be worried.
Back the All Blacks to score a runaway win, with a score line around 34-17.
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