Argentina vs Ecuador Picks & Parlays
Argentina superstar forward Lionel Messi missed their final Copa America group stage match against Peru with a minor thigh issue. Regardless, Argentina managed a 2-0 victory as they completed a perfect group stage campaign.
Now, Argentina (3-0) take on Ecuador (1-1-1) in the Quarter-Final after Ecuador grabbed four points in their final two group stage matches.
Our Copa America Quarter-Final betting analysis leads us to bet on a continuation of recent trends. We like Lautaro Martinez as an Anytime goalscorer, a draw heading into halftime and a “No” on both teams to score at mouth-watering +759 odds.
Argentina vs Ecuador Picks
- Lautaro Martinez Anytime Goalscorer (+175)
- Halftime Result: Draw (+110)
- Both Teams to Score: No (-205)
- Total Parlay Odds: (+759)
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Game Analysis
Messi is most likely in line for a return here but backup striker Lautaro Martinez has scored four goals in three games. Argentina have also looked formidable defensively, with no goals conceded through three matches.
Our Copa America Quarter-Final betting analysis shows Argentina have never lost to Ecuador in a Copa America match. Argentina have also gone 6-1-0 in their last seven matches against Ecuador.
Plenty of Copa America predictions have Argentina (+125) repeating as champions and it seems hard to bet against them. They’re on an eight-match winning streak and defeated Canada, Chile, and Peru in the group stage.
On the other hand, Ecuador lost their first match of the tournament, 2-1 to Venezuela. All-time leading scorer Enner Valencia got sent off and missed Ecuador’s 3-1 bounce-back win over Jamaica.
To qualify for the knockout stage Ecuador only needed to draw in their final group match against Mexico and they pulled it off. It wasn’t pretty, but Ecuador grabbed a scoreless draw on Sunday to advance.
Notably, Ecuador haven’t gone past the Quarter-Finals in Copa America since 1993. Still, Ecuador have only lost three of their last 13 matches.
Argentina vs Ecuador Game Information
Argentina vs Ecuador
Location: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
Date & Time: Thursday, July 4, 9:00 p.m. ET
How to watch: FOX
Argentina vs Ecuador Odds
Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
BetUS Odds | Argentina: +1 -125 Ecuador: -1 +105 |
Argentina: -224 Ecuador: +707 Draw: +314 |
O 2 -135 U 2 +115 |
BetOnline Odds | Argentina: -1.25 +102 Ecuador: +1.25 -122 |
Argentina: -220 Ecuador: +820 Draw: +320 |
O 2.25 -102 U 2.25 -118 |
MyBookie Odds | Argentina: -1.5 +136 Ecuador: +1.5 -175 |
Argentina: -226 Ecuador: +700 Draw: +310 |
O 2.5 +128 U 2.5 -164 |
Bookmaker Odds | Argentina: -1 -122 Ecuador: +1 Ev |
Argentina: -211 Ecuador: +650 Draw: +300 |
O 2.25 +102 U 2.25 -125 |
Thursday’s Copa America betting lines list Argentina as -238 moneyline favorites. That corresponds to an implied 67 percent chance of victory in normal time. Meanwhile, Ecuador are +770 underdogs and a draw is at +332 odds.
Soccer picks might want to go to Argentina -1 at -125 odds as they did pick up 2-0 victories over Canada and Peru in the group stage. Ecuador +1 also sits at +105 odds and the last two meetings have finished 1-0 in favor of Argentina.
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Argentina vs Ecuador Betting Analysis & Final Overview
As Argentina have kept three straight clean sheets, we think they can keep dominating defensively. Ecuador struggle to score goals against South America’s best teams as well. They’ve found the net only once in their last five games versus Argentina.
Meanwhile, Martinez is on a tear for Argentina, with four of their five goals at the tournament. It’s going to be hard for Albiceleste coach Lionel Scaloni to bench him here and perhaps he starts alongside Messi.
All five of Argentina’s goals at the 2024 Copa America have come after the halftime whistle. Teams can only hang with Argentina for so long as Messi and Co. start to break down defenses.
With these trends, our Copa America Quarter-Final betting analysis leads us to recommend considering Martinez to score, a draw at halftime, and a “No” on Both Teams to Score at +1365 combined odds.
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