The Arizona Diamondbacks will head to Dodger Stadium for the first of three games against the Dodgers.
Although Arizona made a World Series appearance last year, this season hasn’t gone as planned. Instead, the Diamondbacks are 41-43 and aren’t getting quality pitching for their starting rotation.
It’s apparent when looking at today’s starter for Arizona, Ryne Nelson. Nelson has a 5.69 ERA on the season and has struggled even more with right-handed batters as a right-handed pitcher.
Meanwhile, he’ll take on Bobby Miller, who hasn’t looked the same since returning from injury. Miller has pitched in five games this season but has a 6.75 ERA in 20 innings.
Remember these stats when reading our D’Backs vs Dodgers betting odds and picks analysis below.
Game Details and Betting Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Information
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Location of the game: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date & Time: Tuesday, July 2, 10:10 p.m. ET
Where to Watch: SportsNet LA, Arizona Diamondbacks, MLBN
Previous Meeting: Diamondbacks 6-0 Dodgers (May 22, 2024).
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Picks
- Pick: Over 8.5 (-125)
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Odds Breakdown for Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers
Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
BetUS Odds | Diamondbacks: +1.5 -125 Dodgers: -1.5 +105 |
Diamondbacks: +167 Dodgers: -187 |
O 8.5 -125 U 8.5 +105 |
BetNow Odds | Diamondbacks: +1½ -125 Dodgers: -1.5 +105 |
Diamondbacks: +167 Dodgers: -187 |
O 8.5 -125 U 8.5 +105 |
MyBookie Odds | Diamondbacks: +1½ -130 Dodgers: -1.5 +110 |
Diamondbacks: +159 Dodgers: -196 |
O 8.5 -125 U 8.5 +105 |
Bookmaker Odds | Diamondbacks: +1½ -130 Dodgers: -1.5 +110 |
Diamondbacks: +167 Dodgers: -186 |
O 9 -102 U 9 -119 |
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Betting Lines
BetUS Betting line: Dodgers to Win Series (-215)
With Ryne Nelson and Jordan Montgomery pitching in this series for the Arizona Diamondbacks, the Dodgers looked poised to at least earn two of the three games in this three-game series.
The Dodgers will pitch Gavin Stone against Montgomery and then have a tight game on July 4 with Zac Gallen on the hill for Arizona.
Our D’Backs vs Dodgers betting odds and picks for our best bet are below.
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BetNow Betting line: Over 8.5 (-125)
The Dodgers should do most of the scoring. As mentioned earlier, Ryne Nelson’s ERA is nearing 6.00 with plenty of games under his belt. He’s been consistently bad, allowing an ISO of .205 and wOBA of .330 to lefties and an ISO of .204 and wOBA of .425 to righties this season.
Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks have at least limited strikeouts to 19.5% and have seven batters hitting a wOBA of at least .315 over the last 30 days. They’ll at least help the Over hit with a few runs. It’s one of our best MLB bets of the day.
MyBookie Betting line: Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
Bobby Miller has struggled against lefties more than righties over the last 30 days. However, the lefties in the Diamondbacks lineup have hit a .126 ISO over the previous month. That’s why we’ll be more comfortable backing the Dodgers to win this game and cover the runline at +115.
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Bookmaker betting line: Dodgers -186 ML
Ultimately, the Dodgers have the better lineup. They’re still without Mookie Betts, but Shohei Ohtani, Freddie Freeman, and Jason Heyward have all torched right-handed pitching over the last 30 days.
Their stats have helped the Dodgers hit a .188 ISO and wOBA of .335 against righties during the previous 30 days with the projected lineup.
On the other hand, the Los Angeles Dodgers have five batters with an ISO of no better than .147. While they’ll still earn some runs against Bobby Miller and the Dodgers, it likely won’t be enough. Consider Los Angeles when reading through the D’Backs vs Dodgers betting odds and picks.
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Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Recent Trends
Arizona Diamondbacks Last 5:
- June 30, 2024: 5-1 win vs. Oakland Athletics
- June 29, 2024: 3-0 win vs. Oakland Athletics
- June 28, 2024: 4-9 loss vs. Oakland Athletics
- June 27, 2024: 6-13 loss vs. Minnesota Twins
- June 26, 2024: 3-8 loss vs. Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Dodgers Last 5:
- June 30, 2024: 5-1 win at San Francisco Giants
- June 29, 2024: 14-7 win at San Francisco Giants
- June 28, 2024: 3-5 loss at San Francisco Giants
- June 26, 2024: 4-0 win at Chicago White Sox
- June 25, 2024: 4-3 win at Chicago White Sox
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Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Best Bet: Over 8.5 (-125) (BetUS)
Ryne Nelson and Bobby Miller have both struggled over the last couple of starts. Since returning to the major league mound, Miller has earned just 8.1% of strikeouts and has walked 16.2% of batters.
Meanwhile, Ryne Nelson has recorded only 12.6% of strikeouts, allowing a .207 ISO and wOBA of .349 to his last 119 batters.
With both offenses rarely striking out and hitting a high wOBA, one of the best baseball bets today is Over 8.5 (-in this game 125).
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