Portugal vs France Parlay Picks
It wasn’t easy for either side but both Portugal and France managed to reach the Euro 2024 Round of 16. Portugal goalkeeper Diogo Costa was the hero and made three saves in the penalty shootout victory over Slovenia in the round of 16.
Hours earlier, a Belgium own goal was the difference in France’s 1-0 victory over the Red Devils. While Portugal and France have both struggled to score goals during the tournament, there’s no denying the individual talent on both teams.
As Cristiano Ronaldo’s Portugal and Kylian Mbappe’s France face off, our Portugal vs France betting analysis leads us to recommend a +525 parlay pick. We’re going with France to qualify for the Semifinal, Ronaldo to take two shots in the first half and Mbappe to take a shot in both halves.
Portugal vs France Picks
- France to Qualify (-150)
- Cristiano Ronaldo 2+ Shots in 1st Half (+130)
- Kylian Mbappe 1+ Shot in Both Halves (-200)
- Total Parlay Odds: (+525)
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Game Analysis
Portugal and France were among the pre-tournament favorites to win Euro 2024. However, they’ve both had problems in front of goal in their first four matches.
France have taken over 60 shots at Euro 2024 and they’ve scored off of a penalty and two own goals. Meanwhile, Portugal have failed to score in their last two games. After 120 minutes of scoreless play, during which Ronaldo missed a penalty, Portugal won 3-0 against Slovenia in the penalty shootout.
Ronaldo managed to score in the shootout but he seems to be forcing things a bit knowing time is running out on his career. Meanwhile, France star Mbappe hasn’t been at his best while wearing a mask for his broken nose.
Portugal managed to finish in first place in the Group F 2024 Euro Cup standings with wins over the Czech Republic and Turkey and a loss against Georgia. Neither Ronaldo nor Rafael Leao, has scored, though.
France are still unbeaten at Euro 2024, with a 1-0 win over Austria and draws versus the Netherlands and Poland. Randal Kolo Muani took the shot that caused Belgium’s own goal on Monday. With France’s struggles to score, we could see more of Kolo Muani and Olivier Giroud.
Portugal vs France Game Information
Portugal vs France
Location of the game: Volksparkstadion, Hamburg, Germany
Date & Time: Friday, July 5, 3:00 p.m. ET
TV: FOX
Portugal vs France Odds
Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
BetUS Odds | Portugal: pk, +0.5 -118 France: pk, -0.5 -102 |
Portugal: +242 France: +132 Draw: +201 |
O 2 -119 U 2 -101 |
BetOnline Odds | Portugal: +0.25 -120 France: -0.25 Ev |
Portugal: +246 France: +142 Draw: +200 |
O 2 -118 U 2 -102 |
MyBookie Odds | Portugal: +0.5 -168 France: -0.5 +131 |
Portugal: +246 France: +142 Draw: +200 |
O 2.5 +147 U 2.5 -191 |
Bookmaker Odds | Portugal: +0.25 -122 France: -0.25 Ev |
Portugal: +230 France: +137 Draw: +205 |
O 2 -123 U 2 +101 |
Neither team has 50 percent implied odds to win this match or above. The UEFA Euro Cup odds list France as +130 favorites, while Portugal are +240 underdogs. Bettors can also take a draw at +210.
Portugal pk, +0.5 sits at -114 odds and France pk, -0.5 is priced at +102. Our Portugal vs France betting analysis shows that three of the last four meetings have finished in 90-minute draws.
France have averaged under a goal per game so far, while Portugal are scoreless in over three and a half hours of gametime. Still, over two goals display -112 odds.
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Portugal vs France Betting Analysis & Final Overview
Our Portugal vs France betting analysis shows that Portugal haven’t beaten France in a 90-minute match since 1975. Portugal did defeat France 1-0 in extra time of the Euro 2016 final, though, and each of the last seven meetings have either finished in a draw or been decided by a one-goal margin.
Despite their struggles, France have looked more solid than Portugal. Les Bleus can dominate the midfield and shut down Portugal’s danger men. This one could take extra time but we do think France will outlast Portugal.
In big games, star players will try to impose themselves. The only way to score is to shoot and we think Ronaldo and Mbappe will both try to force the issue come Friday.
So, France to qualify, Ronaldo to shoot twice in the first half and Mbappe to shoot in both halves are our UEFA Euro picks.
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